I did some more digging on that Iowa Special Election. It was the 90th District and the Democrat, Hanson, won by only 130 votes (3,965 to 3,868) over the Republican, Burgmeier.
Details can be found at: http://www.sos.state.ia.us/elections/results/09specialresults.html (Click on the link to Precinct Results, including absentee)
I would bet a lot that the election was stolen. Here’s why:
(Sorry for the lousy formatting)
Three counties were involved. In every one, the Rep won hands down among those going to the polling place. Here are the results in the smallest county, Wapello County: Dem first, Rep second
Agency Comm. Center 87 117
Eddyville Public Library 39 55
Eldon Library Hall 64 92
Hickory Grove Comm. Church 21 46
IHCC Video Conf. Trng Ctr 24 65
Kirkville City Hall 20 45
Township Hall, Highland Ctr 25 51
Subtotals 280 471
The Republican got 62.7% of the vote at the polling places in Wapello County and won hands down at every single polling place, by better than a 2 to 1 margin in 4 of the 7.
Ah, but note that I said “Subtotal.” Here’s the absentee results in the same county
Absentee ballots 319 132
Grand Total 599 603
The Democrat got 70.7% of the absentee ballots cast in the same county that the Republican got 62.7% of the votes when voters actually showed up at the polls, i.e., were real people.
I’d love to see what a statistician would make of that.
Results in the other two counties were similar. In fact Van Buren was even worse. The Republican won every one of the 8 polling places 913 to 389 or 70.1% of the vote, but lost the absentee 278 to 258, getting only 48.1% of the absentees. He did win the county handily.
Jefferson had 10 polling places and the Dem actually won at 3 of them this time, but lost the polling place vote 1,079 to 1,518 (Rep got 58.4%) and won the absentee vote 1,620 to 546 (Dem got 74.8%!!)
In all, the Dems cast 2,217 absentee ballots and only sent 1,742 voters to the polling places, so 55.9% of their ballots were mailed in.
This whole thing stinks and someone should investigate the absentee ballots and see if real voters mailed them in. The numbers are way too lop-sided to believe.
Unless there was a large event - (something after the peak period when people sent back ballots) that would sway voters to the “other side”, it’s fraud - ....