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Bob Shrum: After health care, the deluge
The Week ^ | September 15, 2009 | Bob Shrum

Posted on 09/15/2009 10:19:37 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Later this fall, President Obama will sign into law a landmark health-reform bill. Then the hard part begins.

Barack Obama was advised early in his presidency to focus on just one thing at a time and postpone health care for another year. The advice was pressed on him not just from outside observers but from trusted aides inside the White House. He rejected it—and for that reason, among others, the health reform that's been delayed for a century, and which he will sign into law this fall, will carry his indelible stamp.

Afterward, though, there will be no period of rest for this president, no time to rein in the scope of his activism. By necessity, he will confront a succession of fateful issues that will not wait. After health reform comes the deluge.

At home, Obama will have to push for a thorough overhaul of financial regulation, overcoming vested interests intent on a return to unfettered business as usual. He carried the case to Wall Street this week, on the anniversary of Lehman Brothers' collapse. Change, he argued, is essential to prevent another speculative boom and bust. He would prefer to shape it cooperatively, and he may have better luck with business than with the Republican Party of "no." But the U.S. Chamber of Commerce is already mounting the barricades; before the battle is over, a confrontational Obama may have to reprise FDR's denunciation of "the forces of greed and privilege."

This president will encounter similar resistance on energy and climate change, issues on which inaction is not an option. To do nothing or too little would endanger not just the environment but the economy for decades to come. It would also renew America's isolation in the world after a brief springtime when the president has reached out to repair our international standing.

The House has already passed a bill; the Senate, with filibustering Republicans determined to see Obama fail at every turn, is the roadblock. The president will have to negotiate with coal state senators in his own party. The process will be as contentious and perilous as the passage of the stimulus and health reform. The tea-baggers will brew a new pot of disinformation and imminent doom. To prevail, Obama will have to draw on a rising perception of economic recovery to strengthen his authority and credibility. But the course he's already navigated as president suggests that when all the shouting and deal-making have ended, he will win most of what he wants.

Add to all this the imperative of far-reaching but difficult reforms to shore up the financial stability of Social Security and Medicare—and it is clear that the coming months, and the years to follow, will not be a quiet time in Congress or the country. And that doesn't even count student loan reform, fiercely opposed by banks and middlemen profiteers; or new Obama nominations to the Supreme Court, which are not only very likely but nearly certain to be fiercely contested; or the expiration of the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy and an end to the ban on gays in the military, each of which will be assailed.

Nor does the president have space to meet a daunting array of domestic challenges in a tranquil world. Take the nuclear threat from North Korea: having agreed to one-on-one talks, Obama predictably has been attacked by critics who apparently prefer a military response—which would be countered by an attack on Seoul, the disruption or devastation of the world's 15th-largest economy, and possibly another global economic tailspin.

On the other side of Asia, the administration has to respond to the specter of a nuclear Iran, with both China and Russia resisting tougher sanctions. Relations with each of them are frayed, as a resurgent Russia seeks hegemony across its borders and China seeks control of natural resources in Africa (while making threats—idle ones, most likely—to stop buying the American bonds that finance our deficit).

The president can't decide to deal with the problems sequentially; they may, and in some cases certainly will, have to be dealt with simultaneously. And all the while, urgent decisions await on Iraq and Afghanistan. In Iraq, there are premature claims of victory in a war Obama opposed; no one knows for sure what will follow an American drawdown and withdrawal. Meantime, we seem to be losing to a resurgent Taliban in Afghanistan. Fifty-seven percent of Americans oppose the conflict there, according to the latest CNN poll. Disillusion with the war was deepened by the Afghan government's replication of Iran's ballot-stuffing, fraud-riddled election. How can we condemn the one and countenance the other?

Sen. Dianne Feinstein, the chair of the Intelligence Committee and no dove, now wants a time limit on our Afghan intervention. The conservative columnist George Will just wants to end it. The generals want more troops—now.

Obama may have to settle for half a loaf or even just a slice: Taliban and warlord control in return for denying sanctuary to al Qaida. The prospect of making Afghanistan a modern, tolerant democracy by force of arms was always bleak, if not impossible. The president will require all his powers of persuasion to justify and sustain a major troop escalation there—or to disengage if and when it's time to admit a qualified defeat. Amid the inevitable charges of being "soft on terrorism," he would have to take every possible measure to prevent another attack on American soil.

Joe Biden predicted that Obama would be tested by crisis in his first six months. In reality, he will be tested over and over again, at home and abroad. The array of challenges he faces is breathtaking. Not since JFK and LBJ, from 1962 to 1965, has a president had to dare and master so much. That period saw a faulting economy reinvigorated by Kennedy's new economics; it saw the civil-rights revolution and the passage of Medicare.

Abroad, there was the Cuban Missile Crisis—which occurred at the same time as a war, all but forgotten now, between India and China that could have enveloped the subcontinent. Then came the Nuclear Test Ban Treaty. And then, of course, there was the downward spiral of Vietnam. Senate Majority leader Mike Mansfield later reported that JFK was prepared to stand down there—but only after the 1964 election. He never had the chance.

Kennedy and Johnson in the end got most of it right—except for Vietnam. That proved to be a fatal exception that closed off an era of progress and left America torn by divisions that took decades to heal.

For Obama, the lessons are clear. We live in a restless, unforgiving time. His predecessor's cataclysmic mistakes abroad and destructive incompetence at home have afforded Obama few options. To succeed, he must be relentlessly activist. As his own instincts tell him, he has no choice but to respond to "the fierce urgency of now."


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 111th; agenda; backstabberromney; bho44; bhohealthcare; brutusromney; capandtax; deathpanel; democrats; dnc4romney; healthcare; hillarycare; msm4romney; obama; obamacare; operationleper; romney; romney2lose; romney4acorn; romney4obama; romneyantigop; romneyantipalin; romneybot; romneybot4obama; romneycare; romneyhateswomen; romneyistruther; romneythrewelection; romneytricksgop; shrum; shrum4acorn; shrumthrewelection; socializedmedicine; stenchofromney; strumantigop; strumantipalin; third100days
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Bob must have a Kool-aid fountain next to his desk. To even compare BHO to JFK, LBJ or W is laughable. Those were grown-ups who'd had real jobs before becoming president. As a recruiter and career counselor, I knew full well what a community organizer was before most people had ever heard the term and was shocked that one was elected to high office. We'd have been better off picking someone at random from the Des Moines phonebook.
1 posted on 09/15/2009 10:19:37 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Fountain HELL! The guy has ‘Kook-aid’ IV’s in each arm, one wonders how he navigates a keyboard! ;-)


2 posted on 09/15/2009 10:25:09 PM PDT by Kartographer (".. we mutually pledge to each other our lives, our fortunes, and our sacred honor.")
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Sorry Bobby. BO is an incompetent junior Senator from Illinois. He’s in over his head.


3 posted on 09/15/2009 10:25:57 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Americans! "Behaving badly" since April 19, 1775!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Shrum is like most liberals, but especially academicswho actually live within such a small world they has no comprehension of the extent and variety of this nation, and its people. which is ten-15 times the size of any European state, and the same size populationa s all Europe, whose social systems he wants us to adopt. Or that states ARE countries stuck together. Just because all the malls look alike doe snot mean that Texas and Florida, Minnesota and California, Virginia and Maine aren’t very different places.


4 posted on 09/15/2009 10:28:26 PM PDT by RobbyS (ECCE HOMO!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

So Shrum thinks health care passes this fall? Boy, that makes me feel GREAT. Look up the word “LOSER” in the dictionary, and you’ll find Bob’s face looking back at you. Has he ever won a race or been right about anything? Thanks, Bob, for giving Obamascare your patented Kiss of Death.


5 posted on 09/15/2009 10:28:29 PM PDT by GLDNGUN (PALIN/GINGRICH 2012 since 7/04/09)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Shrum is like most liberals, but especially academicswho actually live within such a small world they has no comprehension of the extent and variety of this nation, and its people. which is ten-15 times the size of any European state, and the same size populationa s all Europe, whose social systems he wants us to adopt. Or that states ARE countries stuck together. Just because all the malls look alike doe snot mean that Texas and Florida, Minnesota and California, Virginia and Maine aren’t very different places.


6 posted on 09/15/2009 10:28:29 PM PDT by RobbyS (ECCE HOMO!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Doesn’t even mention Chavez’s nuclear ambitions.


7 posted on 09/15/2009 10:28:58 PM PDT by 1066AD
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
I knew full well what a community organizer was before most people had ever heard the term

Looking at the fine examples of ACORN humanity on You-tube display the past week, one wonders how Zero pulled it off. Oh wait, there must be a lot of people like Charlie Gibson and Bob Schrum out there.

8 posted on 09/15/2009 10:32:21 PM PDT by immadashell
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Later this fall, President Obama will sign into law a landmark health-reform bill.
If Bob Shrum believes it to be true, then we know that it can't be.
 
9 posted on 09/15/2009 10:33:20 PM PDT by counterpunch (In this present crisis, government is not the solution to our problem. Government is the problem.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Bob Shrum is an Orc straight from the flaming bowels of Mordor ...


10 posted on 09/15/2009 10:35:28 PM PDT by dodger
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The House has already passed a bill; the Senate, with filibustering Republicans determined to see Obama fail at every turn, is the roadblock

An outright lie. The GOP doesn't have the numbers to filibuster.

11 posted on 09/15/2009 10:43:03 PM PDT by Carling (Gatesgate: Obama's Waterloo)
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To: dodger

EGGGS-zactly!


12 posted on 09/15/2009 10:43:10 PM PDT by antceecee (Bless us Father.. have mercy on us and protect us from evil.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Photobucket
13 posted on 09/15/2009 10:44:16 PM PDT by xuberalles (Quality, Conservative Novelties: The Right Stuff! http://www.zazzle.com/xuberalles)
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To: Carling

The House passed Cap and Trade.

The House has NOT passed “Health Care” legislation, yet.


14 posted on 09/15/2009 10:45:35 PM PDT by Kansas58
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To: Kansas58

Another lie from Shrum. Is he an idiot?


15 posted on 09/15/2009 10:46:31 PM PDT by Carling (Gatesgate: Obama's Waterloo)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
These Dems are mentally ill and stir crazy fanatics and delusional . These Kooks have God complexes and should be put away because they are dangerous.
16 posted on 09/15/2009 10:46:31 PM PDT by ncalburt (Read all about)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
To prevail, Obama will have to draw on a rising perception of economic recovery to strengthen his authority and credibility

Translation: Lie through his teeth, duly abetted by the media.

17 posted on 09/15/2009 10:57:19 PM PDT by denydenydeny ("I'm sure this goes against everything you've been taught, but right and wrong do exist"-Dr House)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Then tell me please, I have asked over and over to many many people. What is a community organizer, and how do you get paid for doing it? No one can explain it.


18 posted on 09/15/2009 11:05:17 PM PDT by Jim from C-Town (The government is rarely benevolent, often malevolent and never benign!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
...will carry his indelible stamp.

I think he actually meant to write "...his stain." or "...his smear.".

19 posted on 09/15/2009 11:13:23 PM PDT by MichiganConservative (ObamaCare is socialism. It will do nothing but increase premature, unnecessary death.)
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To: Jim from C-Town

A community organizer, as I understand it, gets people to engage in activism. I haven’t figured out how you’d get paid. Maybe the ones who do somehow get the government to pay them with money stolen from the people who earned it.


20 posted on 09/15/2009 11:15:34 PM PDT by MichiganConservative (ObamaCare is socialism. It will do nothing but increase premature, unnecessary death.)
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