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To: 1rudeboy

It can be argued that S-H made it worse, but not a) how much (because there were so many other things happening at the time, with insufficient data collection, so there is little way to tease out effects of S-H by itself), b) for how long, or c) what lasting effects it had, since many of the trading partners who complained the loudest about S-H had far more pressing issues to complain about in a few years’ time.

The point is that the “free trade” crowd hasn’t seen their agenda stand up to the facts and data collected during this downturn. Trade has fallen faster now that we have “free-er” trade than in the Depression, so free[er] trade doesn’t stop, nor even slows down, the effects of a credit collapse, and putting in this tire tariff isn’t likely to produce results as GOOD as those under Smoot-Hawley.

In short, for those worrying about a trade war now: stop worrying. We had better trade stats in the 30’s during the S-H trade war than we have now.


183 posted on 09/12/2009 1:28:48 PM PDT by NVDave
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To: NVDave
The point is that the “free trade” crowd hasn’t seen their agenda stand up to the facts and data collected during this downturn.

LOL--good one. The point is actually the opposite: the "free trade" crowd was warning you that if you want the trade deficit to fall you should cause a recession. And the numbers bear them out. Again.

186 posted on 09/13/2009 6:28:19 AM PDT by 1rudeboy
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