The problem with relying on the Afghans is we expect them to behave as 21st-century men when they are closer to Hunter gatherers or nomads who have recently been provided AK-47s. Much like early American Indians were given flintlocks and firewater. They are not patriots, they are tribal. They are not democrats, they are Muslims. Think of the American Indians who made treaty with the white man against other Indian tribes and why they did so-because they did not entertain a vision which said this is how the world works which, unfortunately for them, the white man held and imposed through his technological superiority. The Indians had no idea of property in the Anglo-Saxon sense, and neither do the Afghans have an idea of nationalism in the 21st century sense. So we can provide the drones and the helicopters and the rockets, but can the Afghans provide the boots on the ground in furtherance of American interests?
The correct answer, of course, is to be prepared to fight another half-hearted war a decade from now, while in the meantime hosting Ramadan dinners.
I don't see that scenario as a realistic option. Americans simply don't have the patience for it. Our politicians certainly don't display the political will to commit to victory and the Afghanis, after 5+ years of relative freedom from their Taliban tormentors, have already indicated that they are not that enthused with moving beyond a tribal form of governing and lifestyle.
Besides, Afghanistan isn't the center of gravity for defeating the Taliban and al Qaeda in any case. That distinction belongs to Pakistan. Afghanistan is merely the age old tromping grounds. What's the end state to all this? We may as well be doing back to back combined arms live fire exercises at NTC the way the situation exists now.
As poor a description the "War on Terror" moniker was from the Bush administration, the Obama administration won't even characterize this war as such. It's merely a contingency operation now. That's non-committal coward's talk that leaves our troops in a dangerous lurch. The contingency was planned well before 9-11. We are now executing a war plan. Let's either close with the enemy in his own camp or get the hell out until we, as a nation, decide whether fighting and dying for our own liberty on foreign ground (ala war with hostile islamic states and their proxies intent on subduing or killing us) is worth the cost in blood and treasure.