I’m not enthusiastic about these laws but I do now from studying up about pandemic for a while, that even a death rate like the 1918 pandemic will cause havoc here and elsewhere, modern medical stuff notwithstanding.
The NYC Mortuary Association had a meeting last week in which they were told the CDC predicts a 2.2 t 3.5 CFR with 52,000 to 86,000 deaths. For this pandemic. In NYC alone. I may have gotten one of the CFR slightly off, but that’s pretty much what I read.
People who think this is a hoax or something created by 0bama’s adminstration or the CDC don’t know what the hell they are talking about.
I am not very polite about this because I’m tired of people saying crap when they know nothing. Even in CA some head medical dude warned of infrastructure disruption due to absenteeism and supply chain disruption.
H1N1 is of little importance as other than an infrastructure “dress rehearsal” for the Avian flu H5N1 epidemic, that has the potential for being the deadliest plague in human history.
There really is no comparison of probable mortality for H5N1 among human diseases. This is magnified by the cytokine storm or Acute Respiratory Disease Syndrome (ARDS), the overreaction of the immune system, which can be caused by many things, including a novel influenza, and has a 50% death rate in its own right.
ARDS happens on about day 5 of symptoms, and requires the use of an oxygen ventilator, of which the US is in very short supply. And with ventilation, a doctor can usually tell from a single chest X-ray if the patient will live or die, the lung damage is so severe.
Therefore, there is a desperate effort to find some drug formula that can inhibit the immune system enough so that it does not overreact. This is very difficult, as some 150 histamines and other chemicals are involved in the cytokine storm, and their interactions are not fully understood.
Hopefully an Over The Counter recipe can be devised, and there are some good possibilities of taking out several of the major antagonists.
Then, if someone doesn’t develop ARDS, they only have to contend with the virus itself, which also can be deadly.