Obama will announce troop withdrawals going into the 2010 election cycle. He will blame the Bush administration for making such serious errors in Afghanistan that cannot be overcome with military force on the ground and that two party negotiations with the Taliban will commence. This tact will be taken to appeal to the leftist base to shore up support for congressional incumbents and help take away attention from the abysmal economy and failure to get bi-partisan public option healthcare legislation enacted. In the meantime, Shamnesty II will be front and center to (once again)anchor the hispanic vote.
But Oceania has always been at war with Eastasia.