You’re right, I’m wrong.
Seasonal flu is “not a pandemic” but affects 340 million to 1 billion each year, killing between 250k and 500k; it has a fatality rate of less than .05%.
The current H1N1 has 262,099 reported cases and 2,551 reported deaths for a fatality rate of .97%. That is about 20 times the upper range for the fatality rate of the seasonal flu. Assuming the upper range for infections of one billion, we’re looking at 10 million deaths. Not as bad as Spanish Flu, but real bad.
What percentage of cases are reported? If most H1N1 cases are a “mild flu” they wouldn’t get reported because the victim wouldn’t seek medical assistance. So H1N1 mortality rates may not be any greater than regular flu.
Been reading WIKI site, again, I see.
What the CFR will turn out to be will only be known after the fact. Certainly not yet.