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To: PreciousLiberty
Many scientists agree, however, that hotter times are ahead. A decade of level or slightly lower temperatures is only a temporary dip to be expected as a result of natural, short-term variations in the enormously complex climate system, they say.

They admit that the climate system is enormously complex, yet still maintain that they can model and use the models to project the future of this enormously complex system.

Just how many of their sophisticated modeling programs predicted the current 10 year global cooling?

I think the answer is - not one.

67 posted on 08/20/2009 2:00:43 PM PDT by CharacterCounts (November 4, 2008 - the day America drank the Kool-Aid)
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To: CharacterCounts

“Just how many of their sophisticated modeling programs predicted the current 10 year global cooling?

I think the answer is - not one.”

That’s correct. Further, not one climate model successfully models the El Nino, La Nina, or either ocean’s (multi) decadal temperature oscillations.

They have other problems, the main one being a “positive warming bias” for increasing cloud cover. Meaning that the increased cloud cover that comes with increasing warmth makes things warmer, not cooler. That’s almost certainly wrong, otherwise the Earth would have reached the same “tipping point” they’re talking about now during one of the earlier, well documented, warm periods.

They also have simplistic, and optimistic (for warming) solar and volcanic models.


70 posted on 08/21/2009 3:20:37 AM PDT by PreciousLiberty
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