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The Greenback Effect (Warren Buffett Warning!)
NY Times ^ | 8/19/2009 | Warren Buffett

Posted on 08/19/2009 6:41:18 PM PDT by Red in Blue PA

To understand this threat, we need to look at where we stand historically. If we leave aside the war-impacted years of 1942 to 1946, the largest annual deficit the United States has incurred since 1920 was 6 percent of gross domestic product. This fiscal year, though, the deficit will rise to about 13 percent of G.D.P., more than twice the non-wartime record. In dollars, that equates to a staggering $1.8 trillion. Fiscally, we are in uncharted territory.

Because of this gigantic deficit, our country’s “net debt” (that is, the amount held publicly) is mushrooming. During this fiscal year, it will increase more than one percentage point per month, climbing to about 56 percent of G.D.P. from 41 percent. Admittedly, other countries, like Japan and Italy, have far higher ratios and no one can know the precise level of net debt to G.D.P. at which the United States will lose its reputation for financial integrity. But a few more years like this one and we will find out.

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Slowing them down will require extraordinary political will. With government expenditures now running 185 percent of receipts, truly major changes in both taxes and outlays will be required. A revived economy can’t come close to bridging that sort of gap.

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Our immediate problem is to get our country back on its feet and flourishing — “whatever it takes” still makes sense. Once recovery is gained, however, Congress must end the rise in the debt-to-G.D.P. ratio and keep our growth in obligations in line with our growth in resources.

Unchecked carbon emissions will likely cause icebergs to melt. Unchecked greenback emissions will certainly cause the purchasing power of currency to melt. The dollar’s destiny lies with Congress.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: billionaires; hedgefunds; warrenbuffett
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To: Windcatcher

The main thing for people to understand is to pay off their debt if not all.


21 posted on 08/20/2009 9:50:22 AM PDT by freekitty (Give me back my conservative vote; then find me a real conservative to vote for)
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To: Red in Blue PA

He screwed up his OpEd with his lame anthropogenic global warming analogy. This economy needs cheap energy for it to recover in addition to cuts in useless government spending.


22 posted on 08/23/2009 2:14:08 PM PDT by neverdem (Xin loi minh oi)
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To: hinckley buzzard
"If he is now telling you what to expect, you can rest assured that he is well prepared to profit from your response."

Absolutely!

23 posted on 08/24/2009 9:39:20 AM PDT by editor-surveyor (The beginning of the O'Bummer administration looks a lot like the end of the Nixon administration)
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To: AdmSmith; Berosus; bigheadfred; Convert from ECUSA; dervish; Ernest_at_the_Beach; Fred Nerks; ...
If we leave aside the war-impacted years of 1942 to 1946, the largest annual deficit the United States has incurred since 1920 was 6 percent of gross domestic product. This fiscal year, though, the deficit will rise to about 13 percent of G.D.P., more than twice the non-wartime record. In dollars, that equates to a staggering $1.8 trillion.
The price of crude oil dropped by 2/3rds, then bounced around upward; imports bbl per day for 2008 times $70 per bbl (current price) times 365 days gives $249,955,650,000 per year, one quarter trillion dollars.

The figure at the peak crude price (which was something like $150 per bbl) means that the US was importing a half trillion dollars worth of crude oil. That'll buy a lot of flight lessons.

Anyway, I was worried about the sheiks, I know you were too, but I'm pretty sure they'll somehow manage to get by.

It may seem like one of those drop in a bucket things, but there really couldn't have been a better time to blow out the federal budget.
24 posted on 08/24/2009 3:40:04 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/__Since Jan 3, 2004__Profile updated Monday, January 12, 2009)
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