Looks like a hit around south Florida about the 22nd or 23rd.http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/animate/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Wind%20850%20and%20mslp!72!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2005101800!!!step/
The above forecast map is quite accurate most times with slight changes as storm gets closer. When Ike was headed for South Texas last year, this forecast map had it headed straight for Houston.