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There is a lot of popular energy right now but it lacks an effective and charismatic leader(thinking Solidarity here). There is no focused plan of agitation or even civil disobedience( like a general popular strike)

There are a number of ways to think about this long-term, but until someone emerges to focus the energy into activity things will be chaotic but not effective. Most likely the movment will be frustrated into submission.

I don’t think the enormity of what is going on now has really sunk in with most people. The press is focused on disdaining the authenticity of the participants. The government seems entirely in control of this situation, and the fact that you even mention the idea of a military coup(this is so far beyond our historical experience it makes me really afraid.) means that you have abandoned hope for an awakening of the general population. You may be right.

But until someone can act effectively and articulately to lead the unrest, it will fade away. I think this is what they are counting on. As well as the fact that they will push for new voters thru immigration and corrupt elections. We shall see.

But at this moment this is not a movment of descamisados but of the productive who don’t want to lose their shirts and their freedom to the government. I have watched this phenomenon of the Obama election and have thought how could this kind of third world stuff happen there. The idea of the man on horseback, the resentment of the few translated into a general resentment. It didn’t happen over night. I don’t know what strange events are lurking on the horizon to change this scenario.

I just don’t know.

"But until someone can act effectively and articulately to lead the unrest, it will fade away. I think this is what they are counting on. As well as the fact that they will push for new voters thru immigration and corrupt elections."

My thoughts too. However, I think it's worse, because once the Doomsday Machine is in place, a mere majority will NOT be sufficient to overthrow it. You'll need supermajorities of remarkable will, plus a Court, plus a President. Reagan didn't have that. Bush certainly didn't. The closest we have had to that is FDR in 1933.