I hope I am wrong as well. Unfortunately, this thing has gone down just as I suspected it would way back in 2006. I think it will get VERY bad by next spring - possibly by christmas.
This sort of thing goes in phases. Like the eviction from a home, everything is “relatively” fine until that day the Sheriff pulls up and knocks on the door. One way or another, you are, at best, on the sidewalk by days end.
As far as the world economy and, specifically, the us economy and culture is concerned, the Sheriff has the paperwork, has hopped in his car, turned the key, put it in drive, and is on his way over.
Things are about to drastically turn. It all depends on how far he has to drive.
As a writer, I’m chilled by that analogy, mostly because I understand it, and because I’m not so sure I don’t agree.