Lance is a great champion, but it is clear to me after watching this year’s Tour that he’ll never be able to beat Contador. The Lance of 5 years ago certainly would be the heavy favorite, but next year he will be even closer to 40 and this sport is way too grueling for that age. Contador is not tactically very bright, but his physical abilities at this point in time are just way beyond what an aging Armstrong will be able to contend with. Only Andy Schleck should be considered a Contador threat next year.
It would almost be fun to see if Lance could get a rider on HIS team the win over Contador, thus proving that no matter how good a rider you are, you can be beat by a good team.