Chris Cillizza
Posted on 07/19/2009 1:04:36 PM PDT by yongin
Alaska as Democratic Opportunity?: The soon-to-be official resignation of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R) could hand Democrats a legitimate pickup opportunity, according to a recent poll in the Last Frontier obtained by the Fix. The survey, which was conducted by Global Strategy Group, showed Lt. Gov. Sean Parnell (R) at 41 percent to former state Sen. Ethan Berkowitz's (D) 40 percent -- a statistical dead heat. Democrats held the Alaska governorship from 1994 until 2002 as Gov. Tony Knowles (D) benefited from a fractured Republican party and serious independent candidates. As for those who argued that Palin decided to leave office for fear she would lose in 2010, this poll, which was in the field from June 14-18 suggests otherwise. Palin led Berkowitz 56 percent to 36 percent in a hypothetical general election matchup and carried a solid 56 percent/35 percent favorable to unfavorable score.
(Excerpt) Read more at voices.washingtonpost.com ...
I thought part of the plan was for Parnell to show his stuff as governor before the election.
Ayotte, Hodes in Dead Heat: A new poll conducted for the liberal Daily Kos blog shows that New Hampshire Attorney General Kelly Ayotte’s (R) entry into the open Senate race has turned the contest into a pure tossup. Ayotte, who is rapidly gaining the support of the Washington political establishment, takes 39 percent in the Research 2000 poll to 38 percent for Rep. Paul Hodes who has cleared the Democratic primary field. Thirty six percent of the sample have a favorable opinion of Ayotte while just 13 percent have a unfavorable opinion — a reflection of the fact that she has never been involved in a partisan race before. Hodes fav/unfav numbers — 34/21 — are slightly less rosy but only slightly. While the Kos poll is good news for Senate Republicans, there is still significant doubt as to whether Ayotte will dodge a primary. Businessman Fred Tausch has already sunk hundreds of thousands of dollars into television ads promoting fiscal discipline and has hired several well regarded New Hampshire operatives to manage his likely bid. And, Ovide LaMontagne, the party’s gubernatorial nominee in 1996, is also taking a serious look at the race and has hired Washington-based attorney Charlie Spies to advise him.
Below is the Kos Poll showing Kelly Ayotte leading Hodes 39-38.
http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/7/15/NH/319
Articles like this only aim at taking shots at Palin.
Lame.
....well, there goes the neighborhood..
They can have Anchorage, its mostly liberal democratic anyway.
Anchormites hate the rest of Alaska because we do not have the culture they live for, and we in rural Alaska are very happy having a distinctive city limit affair with Anchorage.
The AK Governorship could be a tossup.
The NH Senate race has moved from lean Dem to Tossup.
Mark Kirk plans on raising $25 million for his Senate race.
In April, Anchorage elected a GOP mayor in the special election replace Mark Beigch.
Yeah this is nonsense. If Parnell continues to do a good job, he will win next year in a landslide. They had a poll, Sarah against whoever the Dem nominee would have been next year, she would have won by 15 points
The Democrats and MittWits looking to bash Gov. Palin.
They already have the answers before Parnell assumes Governorship.
and Washington Post, yeah, official rag of the Liberals.
It’s good to see the liberals starting to express some concern over a one party Amerika. Without a few Republicans laying around, the ‘RATS would have to take total blame for everything that is happening to this country. They need a few RINOs who they can point at and say, “Well the GOP supported this too!”
Sean Parnell (R) at 41 percent to former state Sen. Ethan Berkowitz’s (D) 40 percent
Palin led Berkowitz 56 percent to 36 percent
Those two facts show why the Dems are morons and that Palin was correct to resign after deciding to not run for re-election. She’s giving Parnell precious incumbency time and will be campaigning for him. Berkowitz will still lose by 20 points.
Sarah’s political instincts especially regarding Alaska politcs are far better than those in the beltway.
Ethan Berkowitz couldn’t defeat a scandal ridden GOP congressman like Don Young last year. I doubt he’ll beat Parnell next year as people get to know him better.
Palin is resigning early. She wouldn’t be doing that if she had the power to swing the AK electorate firmly back into the Republican camp. Silly question. Don’t worry too much about Alaska. I doubt that Democrats are going to turn Alaska into another precinct of Chicago any time soon.
ALL: Ayotte 39 Hodes 38
MEN: Ayotte 43 Hodes 35
WOMEN Ayotte 35 Hodes 41
NH DISTRICT 1: Ayotte 47 Hodes 28
NH DISTRICT 2: Ayotte 31 Hodes 48
NH voters disapproval of gay marriage: -49 / +41
Cillizza names Frank Ricci a "loser,"
In case anyone has forgotten, he's the firefighter who testified at the Sotomayor confirmation hearing.
Chris Cillizza
So then he is running?
Yes, Kirk is running. He will make the announcement tomorrow morning.
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