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2012 Prospects: The Barracuda (Pretty good analysis)
Political Betting ^ | July 8, 2009

Posted on 07/08/2009 7:43:15 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

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Can anyone from Alaska speak to what this individual says?
1 posted on 07/08/2009 7:43:15 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

She should come out clearly now as a candidate, and say no to any fed funding. And, she maybe ought to offer the VP to Obama.


2 posted on 07/08/2009 7:52:39 PM PDT by Tax Government (Sarah NOW.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Too early. The field hasn’t even started to gel yet.

In 3 years we might know more. The ones in the primary last year may not even try again and their are no rumblings from within the Party.

I though I read about Romney and something in Utah or Nevada. Sanford, I think has really been dealt himself a crippling blow from which he has a slim-to-none chance of recovery.

Sarah Plain hasn’t even let her ‘cat(s)’ out of the bag yet ... although the Dems/MSM are scared already. A run from now till the 2011 Primaries is not very sustainable anyway.


3 posted on 07/08/2009 7:56:16 PM PDT by K-oneTexas (I'm not a judge and there ain't enough of me to be a jury. (Zell Miller, A National Party No More))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

One glaringly bad piece of advice in that article - “She also needs to get more involved in D.C.-based think tanks, as a way to get conservative media intellectuals back on her side.”

What Sarah Palin needs to do is make speeches at the chamber of commerce dinners and events all around the country. She needs to stay out of Washington and away from the “intellectuals.”

When the hordes of conservative voters are making her the runaway favorite for the GOP nomination, the “Washington Intellectuals” will leave Washington to see what the appeal is. Let them come to her.


4 posted on 07/08/2009 8:15:13 PM PDT by Bryan24 (When in doubt, move to the right..........)
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To: Bryan24

I agree about Washington as a source of insular thought and elitism, but on the other hand, she needs to develop a good grounding in the expanse of conservative ideas. That is a need that can be filled by the Heritage Foundation and the American Enterprise Institute. Maybe she can meet them somewhere away from the swamp.


5 posted on 07/08/2009 8:24:35 PM PDT by sgtyork (The secret of happiness is freedom, and the secret of freedom, courage. Thucydides)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The consequences of Obama-ism have to bite.

If he’s saved from the worst aspects of himself, he’ll still be president in 2016. And maybe longer.


6 posted on 07/08/2009 8:40:42 PM PDT by Steely Tom (RKBA: last line of defense against vote fraud)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

One angle I’ve not yet seen on this, though I’m probably not the first to think of it:

Remember that when on the campaign trail, Palin drew ENORMOUS crowds of rabid supporters. She will now be ideally suited to help other candidates at rallies and raising money. In the process, she would become the spokesperson of the Conservative movement, and in great position to run in 2012 for POTUS.


7 posted on 07/08/2009 8:41:40 PM PDT by Eccl 10:2 (Pray for the peace of Jerusalem - Ps 122:6)
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To: Bryan24

“She needs to stay out of Washington and away from the “intellectuals.”

I agree - she needs to stay away from DC and those that feed off DC. Once she gets into real America she will start drawing the crowds wherever she goes. At that point she will be unstoppable. She shouldn’t listen to the pundits, the media, the politicians - just plain American folk.


8 posted on 07/08/2009 8:48:13 PM PDT by gscc
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

This is a repost of one I gave under my old moniker (Obushma)on another thread:

This is how Obumulus did it. He organized for 3 straight years over the internet and focused his laser beams on the caucuses (especially Iowa). He figured he could pull off enough primaries with a flood of new black voters (those who voted in the general election but never bothered in the primary system). He jumped ahead of Hillary and she played catch-up til mathematically eliminated by the press who by that time were firmly on his side. All the while collecting a paycheck, never earned a dime of it in the Senate. The rest is history.

Flash forward to SP. She MUST build an online army first. She is beginning to do that now. She has already got good GOP poll numbers, now for the purpose of boxing Romney and Huckabee into a corner-—she’s got to solidify the Evangelical base-—then draw a decent amount of moderate women (feminist???) into a GOP caucus/primary, they wouldn’t normally participate in and finish both of them off with disaffected PUMAS, Former Hillary Dems, Reagan Dems, and a Blue Collar Midwesterners/Westerners.

Mittens will probably win MA, MI, Utah and a number of the east coast primaries (except NH). But Sarah will win NH, PA, OH, CA, TX, SC, the Southeast, South (except AR), the Midwest & West. Huckabee will be competitive in several of the Southern states and will win his home state but he’ll bow out after Super Tuesday and reading the tea leaves will endorse Sarah in an attempt to secure the VP slot.

It’s a good chance we’ll see either a Palin-Romney ticket or A Palin-Huckabee ticket in 2012. The only other ticket that would make sense would be John Kasich from Ohio if he wins the Governorship (and depending on how close Palin and Obama poll in Ohio) or some unknown from Florida or PA (depending on how close she and Obama poll in those 2 states).


9 posted on 07/08/2009 9:14:40 PM PDT by Ocarterma (formerly Obushma: Because he's way past Bush---he's Carter now)
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To: Ocarterma

Good stuff!


10 posted on 07/08/2009 9:33:13 PM PDT by dalight
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
(The less than professional resignation speech heavily indicated it had been prepared at short notice.)

I listened to her resignation speech and it was inspiring.

Statements like these make me question the objectivity of the author of this piece.
11 posted on 07/08/2009 9:33:46 PM PDT by SoConPubbie
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To: Ocarterma

The 2012 ticket will be Palin/Cornyn. She will need ‘gravitas’ more than a strategic geographical pick.


12 posted on 07/08/2009 9:39:18 PM PDT by TexasNative2000 (Bush was the dumbest sounding smart President, and Obama is the smartest sounding dumb President.)
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To: TexasNative2000

Gravitas? Is that like what Obama brought? Or Biden? Or Clinton? Anyone? Or is that a figment, propagated by the libs, to be used as a bar for republicans only? That gravitas?


13 posted on 07/08/2009 9:43:10 PM PDT by going hot (Happiness is a Momma Deuce)
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To: going hot

That’s exactly what Obama picking Biden was about - however, the media wanted Obama to win so they didn’t use the term ‘gravitas’. They liked the fact that he made a “seasoned, experienced “ pick.


14 posted on 07/08/2009 9:46:10 PM PDT by TexasNative2000 (Bush was the dumbest sounding smart President, and Obama is the smartest sounding dumb President.)
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To: TexasNative2000

legends in their own minds, all of them.


15 posted on 07/08/2009 9:47:43 PM PDT by going hot (Happiness is a Momma Deuce)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Maybe she doesn’t want the job.

She can make a ton of money, influence policy, and avoid the meat grinder by giving speeches, campaigning for others, writing articles, etc.

We shall see...


16 posted on 07/08/2009 9:50:00 PM PDT by Aria ( "The US republic will endure until Congress discovers it can bribe the public with the people's $.")
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To: Aria

My overall feeling remains that, while I am extremely sceptical of her chances in the general


Excuse me, but after Obama economics, the populace will be looking for “hope” and “change”. 3 1/2 years is a long time boys and girls.


17 posted on 07/08/2009 9:55:44 PM PDT by ak267
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To: Tax Government
She should come out clearly now as a candidate....

Nope, too early. She needs to spend the time between now and 2010 building alliances with conservative groups trying to push back in the off-year elections against the Rahm-and-Nancy juggernaut.

She'll need allies in fighting the Alinskyite bear-baiting campaign in the media. She needs tag-team buddies, intellectual heavyweights who can work in her corner and dish out a little Triple H and Undertaker punishment to the ankle-biters and Rahm Emanuel.

On election night 2010, I want to see her standing in the open hatch of a Republican tank parked squarely on top of the supine form of Rahm Emanuel.

She's got a lot of teamwork and team-building to do between now and then. She referred to that in her resignation speech.

18 posted on 07/08/2009 10:03:19 PM PDT by lentulusgracchus
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To: going hot
Other than Obama's reappointing Gates and bringing in Holbrook, the last time any Dem showed real "gravitas" was when Slick appointed Lloyd Bentsen to Treasury, then went behind Lord Bentsen's back, causing Bentsen quietly to leave after a year and go home to Texas. Bob Rubin was heavily connected at Goldman with the Downtown Boys, but saying he had "gravitas" is like saying Jesse Livermore and Legs Diamond had "gravitas".

Think about Slick's appointments a second. Beastwoman to the Soviet healthcare bill. Ron Brown. Maddie Albright. Sandy Burglar. Bill Cohen. Janet Reno and Jamie "Chinese Wall" Gorelick. Donna Brazile. Jocelyn Elders. Robert Reich. Web Hubbell. "Gravitas"? Don't make me laugh.

19 posted on 07/08/2009 10:16:27 PM PDT by lentulusgracchus
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To: lentulusgracchus

I rest my case


20 posted on 07/08/2009 10:21:10 PM PDT by going hot (Happiness is a Momma Deuce)
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