Posted on 07/04/2009 8:57:39 AM PDT by gusopol3
Since the publication of Rahmstorf et al 2007, a highly influential comparison of models to observations, David Stockwell has made a concerted effort to figure out how Rahmstorf smoothing worked. I now have a copy of the program and have worked through the linear algebra. It turns out that Rahmstorf has pulled an elaborate practical joke on the Community, as I'll show below. It must have taken all of Rahmstorf's will-power to have kept the joke to himself for so long and the punch-line (see below) is worth savoring.
(Excerpt) Read more at climateaudit.org ...
Brad DeLong, apparently a star economist of the Krugman school, is so impressed with the trend line, that he puts it on his blog home page.
He really sees in graphs what he wants to see;
http://delong.typepad.com/sdj/2009/03/delong-lessons-from-the-new-deal-for-today.html
see page 4 of the PDF which was presented to Congress
The way I read the graph, going off the gold standard flattened growth in the US coming off the bottom.
Read this for more on this IPCC, and data fudging.
http://landshape.org/enm/rahmstorf-2007-discredited/
be sure to see the comments which include an exchange with the contributor of this item about Greenland ice cap :http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/07/090701102900.htm
Thanks, that’s succinct and a little more hard -hitting.
Anything for the cause, and truth!!!!
Lies, damned lies, and statistics.
parsy, who forgets who said this.
Unfortunately, these days, for whatever reasons, both technical and non-technical reports publish garbage without any analysis, or worse, an improper or skewed analysis designed to mislead an unsoptisticated reader. It is not science any more to a large part, it is about grant money and control of your behavior. When results are “proved” using statistics, or computer models; stand by for a ram”.
About all one can do is to do an independent analysis with the info that you have available and stand ready to repel boarders. They are after your life and riches.
"Bad Behavior" has blocked 15712 access attempts in the last 7 days.
The moonbats are not amused and must try to destroy what they can't understand or manipulate successfully.
"Knock and ye shall receive!" (The Bible, somewhere.)
Matt 7:7 and Luke 11:9
I’ve never been a big math head, but college level geometry worked for me, because it is visual and physical, and college level stat & probability worked for me, because it’s just so entertaining and creative. With the right data and the right hypothesis, you can “prove” just the most bizarre things.
Most people aren’t geared to think that such manipulation is possible, and go with what the “authorities” on a particular matter decree. That’s not so entertaining and creative, it’s downright dangerous. But, it does go right back to my experience with stat & probability in college.
Are you sure? Check the wording.
Most peoples's eyes glaze over at being presented data such as at the following (excellent) link:
Weather is NOT Climate -- for Dummies
I place myself among the dummies, even though my entire working career I had to be intimately familiar with weather rainfall and intensity curves for California.
The concepts at the above link are quite elementary and easily understood by any person educated minimally in math and science --- the standard in the modern world of "cultural literacy."
Of course, if your entire life is based on "drama," "basket weaving," "gender studies," or other totally useless crap, you must rely on the likes of Gore, Moore, Hansen and the whole panoply of hucksters, instead of your own God-given brain...
It stopped being amusing long ago, when such a lack of understanding began to be manipulated for geopolitical purposes.
The Climate science guy seems to be a global warming alarmist and a big-time Hansen supporter, however.
"Ask, and it will be given to you; seek, and you will find; knock, and it will be opened to you" Matt 7:7
The Science guy, apparently, is not a statistician, and doesn't acknowledge his limitations.
As mentioned elsewhere, even quite educated people are not immune from the arrogance of limited ignorance.
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