More readable:
Blanche Lincoln, AR 45% Public Policy Polling, March
Barbara Boxer, CA 48% Survey USA, June 12-14
Michael Bennet, CO 34% Public Policy Polling, April 24-26 (trails Rep. Beauprez)
Christopher Dodd, CO 37% Quinnipiac, April (trails several)
Roland Burris, IL 17% Public Policy Polling, April 24-26 (likely to lose primary)
Harry Reid, NV 34% Mason-Dixon, June 18-19
Kirsten Gillenbrand, NY 24% Marist, June (disapproval rating also below 50%)
Byron Dorgan, ND (only poll in this red state was commissioned by DailyKOS)
Possible danger
Daniel Inouye, HI leads Republican Gov. Linda Lingle, but he’ll be 86, and may not campaign well
Arlen Specter, PA (could face bruising primary)
Sadly we are a broken party. Our organization is shot. It will take years to rebuild back to where we were at 2004. Too much infighting right now. Witness the saga over Steve Schmindt releasing e-mails of Sarah Palin.
You forgot Deleware.
Any idea why Gillebrand is doing so poorly when she has been in office only a short while?
Hopefully the reason is something other than “not liberal enough for New York.”
I’d love for the GOP to take that seat, but if not, I’d prefer Gillebrand to Maloney.
I think six of these elections will likely go to Republicans...both Dodd and Spector are gone. I also think that the Hawaii magic of Inouye will finally be used up. The curious races will be Burris in IL and Lincoln in Ark...neither have much popularity. I suspect at the last minute...that our guy “Huck” will be running in Arkansas and easily win. There just aren’t any big-name Republicans left in IL that stand out at this point.
Doable, if the GOP picks the right candidate. Junior Senator from Arkansas might just be Huckabee's niche....
Barbara Boxer, CA
Won't happen.
Michael Bennet, CO
Definitely a possibility. I am not convinced that Colorado is really as purple as many seem to think it is. Depends on turnout in Colorado Springs and the Eastern slope.
Christopher Dodd, CO
This one looks to be shaping up good for us. Granted, Dodd will be replaced by a RINO, but that's about all you're gonna get from CT. I'd rather a RINO than a Dem. At least we get numbers with a RINO.
Roland Burris, IL
Burris will probably be replaced, but it will be by another hand-picked Friend of Obama.
Harry Reid, NV
Doable.
Kirsten Gillenbrand, NY
I wouldn't bank on taking Gillibrand down, not in left-wing NY.
Byron Dorgan, ND
Probably not. Thought ND is a red state, Dorgan brings home the bacon, and he's been there forever. Every six years, we think we can unseat him, and every six years, he rolls back to Washington.
Daniel Inouye, HI
Possibility. Lingle is a RINO, but the Connecticut rule applies.
Arlen Specter, PA
If Toomey is the GOP nominee, and if Specter's primary really is as bruising as people think it will be, then this is a good chance for a pickup. Especially once the people of PA find out that he's a Paulician.
Those on this list are good candidates for calls when the Senate takes up Cap and Trade and Healthcare, particularly from those that vote in those states.
I think we can knock off Dodd, Bennet, and Reid. Dorgan, Specter, and Boxer are winnable but difficult.