[FreeReign]

I think that being in a position to be able to criticize the US prez credibly may put Mousavi in a stronger position.

Recent history doesn't support your claim.

As I pointed out to you: President Bush's policy was to criticize Ahmadinejad and support the protesters. Ahmadinejad's response has been to criticize the US prez Yet, the protests have only increased and Ahmadinejad's support has only decreased.

The evidence suggests that your claim is false.

[Pallas]

My view there is philosophical: it may or may not be right and I think it would be hard to test. Regarding your analysis, I think you may be falling into a post hoc ergo propter hoc trap.