[narses]

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Obama Says A Baby Is A Punishment

Obama: “If they make a mistake, I don’t want them punished with a baby.”

[HowlinglyMind-BendingAbsurdity]

"Unless the GOP screws it up..."

They could still figure out how to do that.
They need a good candidate (different from those usually mentioned).
And they will need all of the factions of their coalition especially conservatives.
The candidate has to be a "fusionist" with enough charisma to bring all of those together.