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Relax. The U.S. isn't a deadbeat (chance of the government defaulting on its debt is slim)
CNN Money ^ | 5/22/2009 | Paul R. La Monica

Posted on 05/22/2009 3:38:58 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

It looks like after two months of ignoring the risks that remain for the economy and markets, Wall Street has finally found something else to worry about: the possibility that the United States could lose its AAA credit rating.

Thursday was one of those rare days when stocks, bonds and the dollar all fell. Stocks recovered slightly Friday morning ahead of the Memorial Day weekend, but Treasurys and the greenback were lower again.

The sell-off was partly sparked by Thursday's news that rating agency Standard & Poor's had decided to place the sovereign rating of the United Kingdom on "negative watch."

S&P did not actually downgrade the United Kingdom. Like the United States, it still has an AAA rating, the highest that a country, municipality or corporation can have.

Nonetheless, the move was viewed as a precursor to an eventual downgrade. And investors went one step further to assume that if Britain was being put on notice, then the "colonies" might be next.

White House spokesman Robert Gibbs said Friday that the Obama administration was "not concerned about a change in our credit rating."

But downgrade fears were heightened because the highly respected bond guru Bill Gross, who manages the Pimco Total Return fund, said in published reports that the United States could lose its AAA rating in a few years, if not before then.

If that actually happens, watch out.

For one, it would likely lead to higher interest rates across the board in the United States since a credit downgrade makes it more expensive for the borrower to issue new debt. It's not different than trying to get an attractive mortgage or credit card rate after taking a hit to your FICO score.

(Excerpt) Read more at money.cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Editorial; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: aaarating; usdebt

1 posted on 05/22/2009 3:38:58 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Slimebag


2 posted on 05/22/2009 3:40:14 PM PDT by freekitty (Give me back my conservative vote.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Inflating the dollar is defaulting without actually defaulting. People who make this argument are either deliberately obtuse or completely clueless.


3 posted on 05/22/2009 3:41:43 PM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm (The worst is behind us. Unfortunately it is really well endowed.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I’m sure you could find similar “reassuring” news articles b4 masssive goobermint printing of money and the devaluation of the currency in every country in history that it occurred in.


4 posted on 05/22/2009 3:44:16 PM PDT by webschooner
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To: SeekAndFind

The dollar broke below 80 on the index today.
And long bonds look like they are going to drop further.

If the dollar doesn’t collapse, it will be a miracle.

And, yes, we as a country will probably default. The only question is when.

May the Good Lord have mercy on His children. Maranatha!


5 posted on 05/22/2009 3:46:15 PM PDT by TruthConquers (Delendae sunt publici scholae)
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To: SeekAndFind

LOL, about the same as CNN being a real news agency I would say.


6 posted on 05/22/2009 3:47:47 PM PDT by Tarpon (You abolish your responsibilities, you surrender your rights.)
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To: SeekAndFind
No, the United States will not default. But the market will demand a substantially higher risk premium on our debt.

That will cause substantial domestic inflation.

If we do not cut costs on the Federal Budget across the board we are screwed.

7 posted on 05/22/2009 3:50:38 PM PDT by Jimmy Valentine (DemocRATS - when they speak, they lie; when they are silent, they are stealing the American Dream)
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To: SeekAndFind

Let Barry and his band a merry incompetents keep printing and devaluing the dollar while spending like prostitutes at a free-for-all party....please, then get back with us, Mr. La Monica. I noticed that you avoided discussing that it is going to take GENERATIONS to fix what the Barry administration has mucked up in less than 150 days in office. Ironic...


8 posted on 05/22/2009 3:53:44 PM PDT by cranked
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To: SeekAndFind

LOL! ...domestic deflation to continue (except on oil and the like), and those jobs are not coming back. Internationally, dollar inflation will continue, as due to globalism and the way such things work, the dollar must fall and will fall.

And unless we start producing real wealth (things that we can really use), defaults will be a strong possibility.


9 posted on 05/22/2009 3:55:09 PM PDT by familyop (combat engineer (combat), National Guard, '89-'96, Duncan Hunter or no-vote, http://falconparty.com/)
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To: perfect_rovian_storm

Yes


10 posted on 05/22/2009 3:59:43 PM PDT by americanophile (There's science, logic, reason; there's thought verified by experience & then there's California)
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To: SeekAndFind
"Any concern about an impending U.S. downgrade is probably way overblown," Ablin said "As long as our debt is denominated in dollars, the U.S. will be able to make the payments. We print the money."

Well, gee... Does anyone believe the Chinese can't read English?

I can't believe how stupid some can be.

11 posted on 05/22/2009 4:07:26 PM PDT by HarleyD (Great Depression=1) land collapsed, 2) stocks collapsed, 3) joblessness, 4) raised taxes. On to #4.)
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To: SeekAndFind
Governments can always avoid default by simply printing enough fiat currency. If the US Government does this, it will also destroy the returns on any private debt denominated in dollars.

Once enough people believe this is going to happen, foreign holders of US debt, US dollars, and other debt denominated in dollars will disappear, and US inflation will skyrocket.

12 posted on 05/22/2009 4:21:01 PM PDT by 3niner (Hoover turned a recession into a depression, FDR turned it into The Great Depression)
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