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To: grandpa jones
While the official tally of confirmed U.S. swine flu cases topped 4,700 on Friday, experts at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention now estimate the true number of infections at more than 100,000 nationwide.

Well, estimations are close anyway...

Money well spent. /s

4 posted on 05/16/2009 4:11:34 PM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, Question everyone else)
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To: EGPWS
"While the official tally of confirmed U.S. swine flu cases topped 4,700 on Friday, experts at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention now estimate the true number of infections at more than 100,000 nationwide."
Well, estimations are close anyway...
Money well spent. /s

Confirmation carries a cost and I'm sure they're not running tests on everybody who has a singular symptom that MIGHT indicate flu.

I'm guessing too that they might have models based on a number of factors that allow them to produce a rough estimate based on statistical elements such as severity spread of cases, actual confirmations vs referrals, and other elements.

Consider this extreme simplification: IF you knew that the severity distribution followed a bell curve, and all you had was some of the upper region of that curve, you could fairly reasonably extrapolate the rest of the curve.

27 posted on 05/16/2009 5:01:57 PM PDT by sionnsar ((Iran Azadi | 5yst3m 0wn3d - it's N0t Y0ur5 (SONY) | "Also sprach Telethustra" - NonValueAdded)
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