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To: SlaveNoMore

Taking a prepared, but wait and see attitude here

I think some things that are being missed are evaluations of proportion. The greater Mexico City area has roughly 20 million people, right?? And so far they have about 2000 suspected cases(I think this number is for Mexico as a whole, but let’s say it’s for just Mexico City because the number is so easy to work with in relation to the Mexico City population).

Let’s say they are underestimating this number by 10-fold. That would mean 20,000 have it, right? Even an extreme 100-fold undercount would mean 200,000, right?

Now, 200,000 sounds like a BIG number - about twice the size of say - Waco, Texas. But in relation to Mexico City, isn’t that just 1% of the population?

If if 200 (rounded off) have died in Mexico City (again - I know they are all over that country, but 200 makes another easy math number), that would mean 200 divided by 20,000,000 is about .001 percent of the population in Mexico City had died so far.

What is more interesting to me is this:

http://www.uthouston.edu/index/swineflu.htm

http://www.utsurvey.org/responseSwineFlu.htm

let’s watch over the next 2 weeks to see if this graph follows what happens...if it does, we may be in for a rough Fall when it reemerges (just like the chart and just like 1918)

(if I made mistakes in my calculations, please feel free to correct me)


87 posted on 04/30/2009 10:06:05 AM PDT by KeatsforFirstDog
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To: KeatsforFirstDog

Follow-up to my last post...

I will be taking some preventive measurements, but I’ve been meaning to do those anyway. Things like get a few cases of bottled water, cans of tuna/etc, rice, beans, etc. Also get some vitamins, esp vitamin D

if it turns out I’m over-prepared, then it’ll probably just save me in the long run from going to the store so much, lol. Plus, I just started a diet, and all those things could easily be beneficial for dieting. So, all is good. :)


110 posted on 04/30/2009 10:17:54 AM PDT by KeatsforFirstDog
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