Wrong!
Republicans were seriously behind in the in the generic polls for congress in 2008, and proceeded to lose a big number of seats.
Right now, Republicans are steadily increasing their lead over the RATS in the generic congress polls, ergo Republicans win the House at least in 2010 if this continues.
Not wrong. I never said anything about generic polls. I spoke only about approval ratings which should, if generic polls really matter, have meant incumbents were in huge trouble.
The fact is, Republicans were also behind in the individual polls of the races they lost, and only individual polls matter. These generic polls as well as approval polls don’t mean squat. Each race is decided only in their district. And until the individual district polls show people dissatisfied with their congressman, we’re delusional if we think this kind of poll matters.