GOP may be in position to pick up the pieces in 2014/2016 cycles. For three cycles (2012/14/16) the Dems will have to defend all their gains from 2006-2010 (and I think they will go to 64-65 seats in 2010).
By that time, it will either be a lost decade, Japan style, or Carter-style stagflation, and after 6 years or Dem rule, blaming it on Bush will not work well. But I will not hope for any GOP rebound before 2014.
The experience of Tories in the UK shows that it is possible to spend 10+ years in the wilderness. Then it is important to be alert and in decent enough shape to pick up the pieces when the ruling party falls apart.
Very true. Most of the time the end of the line is when they run out of other people's money. Well, we are already, or just about there. Eventually the house of cards will fall. I believe it's all being held together with 'duct tape and a prayer' right now as we speak.
But I will not hope for any GOP rebound before 2014.
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I think you are grossly optimistic. I will be SHOCKED if we even have elections in 2014. Remember that I said that. I hope I’m wrong.
The UK’s voting demographics changed less than 8% during the Tories lost decade. The WWII generation wasn’t passing away at great numbers, the immigrant population with voting rights was and is a relatively small percentage of the total population in the UK.
With a few amnesty laws and outright publicly celebrated rigging of the Census count and the 2010 redistricting, the US electorate could swing as much as 12% towards the Democrats in the next decade. The Democrats as of today have a 12% party identification advantage as of the latest polls. For the small “C” conservatives ten years in the wilderness will bring in ANOTHER round of chain migration amnesty after the one that will be signed into law before the 2010 midterm elections, meaning the dilution of current American citizens’ votes will increase at a exponential rate between now and whenever the Democrats finally blow up the engine of America’s economy.
Someone prove me wrong.