[steve-b]

That's a basic fallacy. The chances of any specific outcome are billions to one against, and yet some outcome has to arise.

Your argument is equivalent to praising a golfer's superhuman aim because he put the golf ball on one pile of grains in the sand trap instead of some other pile of grains six inches to either side.

[exit82]

Sorry, steve-b, no sale.

Elections don’t come this close on such a large sample without tampering.

Your argument is baseless re: the golfer. The argument you believe is that two equal golfers will place the ball in the sand trap at almost the same place from the same tee point. Doesn’t happen in real life.

They go one way or another, usually by a fair margin.Even in a close election, the delta is more than two figures on this size sample.

A sample this size should yield a delta much larger than 25.

You can believe it was all legit if you want, but the numbers tell a different story. If you want to believe that this is the electoral equivalent of lightning hitting exactly the same spot twice, be my guest.

Get used to seeing this happen more and more often.

Because it will.