Ping!
Since the IMF is invariably wrong, I take this as a good sign that it has already hit bottom.
Seriously, I expect a rather quick recovery in the second half, but that the recovery will be dampened by the many stupid things the government is doing to screw with the economy. Long term is messy with what will be too much liquidity floating in the market at the end of this year and an anti-market government in charge in washington.
btt