I never said he would be. I said it will be interesting to see if he is allowed to leave (post #8)
“And the regime is not unpredictable if you have any real knowledge of Iran and its current government.”
I think I have quite a bit. I also think you’d be hardpressed to find anyone knowledgeable on Iran (ie; Ledeen, Michael Rubin, and Iranians themselves, etc) who don’t view the regime as unpredictable. Their unpredictability is what they thrive on.
Which means, you think there is a possibility he may not be allowed to leave. I don't consider that a reasonable possibility in this specific case hence I stated that I am sure he will be allowed to leave.
I think I have quite a bit.
I noticed that you had the Lion and Sun motif over the Iranian flag. Are you or your family Iranian?
I also think you’d be hardpressed to find anyone knowledgeable on Iran (ie; Ledeen, Michael Rubin, and Iranians themselves, etc) who don’t view the regime as unpredictable. Their unpredictability is what they thrive on.
Sorry, but Iran is very predictable. We know they will press on to achieve a nuclear weapon no matter what they say publicly. We know that the regime will continue to support islamic fundamentalists around the world. We know that they will continue to support anti-government forces in Iraq and arm them. We know that the mullahs will do whatever is necessary to remain in power. I could go on and on. As much as the MSM tries to characterize the Iranian regime as a bunch of unpredictable nut cases, the opposite is the case. They are very calculating and cautious.
This latest apprehension of a dual citizen, American/Iranian is not new. It has happened several times before in recent years. Prof Haleh Esfandiari was held in 2007 on trumped up spying charges. There are reasons why the regime takes such actions, much of it having to do with domestic problems and the need to divert attention away from them by creating some sort of external threat.
The State Department has been warning dual citizens not to travel to Iran for years and warned that "the Iranian government has blamed the U.S. and/or UK governments for involvement in the February 2007 bombing that killed Iranian military forces in Zahedan in the southeast and the 2005/2006 bombings in Ahvaz/Khuzestan in the southwest."