First of all, I just don't see any way they're going to be able to weaponize their nuclear device. The circuitry, solidification, miniaturization, I don't think they're capable of it.
Secondly, if I'm one of the mullahs, I don't think I'm going to lob my shiny new ding dong missile, or whatever they come up with at Tel Aviv, that sucker's going right at the Saudi oil fields, those sunni infidels, pumping all that black gold.
Hey, put it in place for the future. Just in case lightning strikes and somehow, someway one of those former Soviet birds actually leaves the silo upon them hitting the button, (thanks to 25 years of Russian maintenance, coupled with the incredibly shoddy manufacturing) it'd be nice to have something to down it with rather than let it strike a potato field in Okrug.
I’m betting that Mr. A.Q. Khan of Pakistan and his posse are working on the miniturization problem as we speak.
“Hey look, I’m 1000% behind a missile shield for our friends in Eastern (good) Europe, but I don’t think we’re gonna need to use it against Iran.”
It was sold to be against Iran because it can have about zero use against Russia—they’ll lob a cruise missile or chaff device into the Czech radar if they want to.
The stories about phantom Iranian ICBMs on the “drawing board” were even more ridiculous than the stories about NK put out by the Star Wars Part Deux lobby.
What a silly notion.
A lot of Iranian engineers are American minted and what you suggest they cannot do is fairly trivial in this day and age.