It seems to me there are three groups here and each has a different agenda;
Group 1: Recipients: They want this program to be implemented and actually want more Gov’t intervention in Markets and Lives
Group 2: True Conservatives: Smaller Gov’t, Smaller footprint.
Group 3: The Defensive. Trying to hold on to what they've got, jumping through IRS hoops to squeeze what little they have left and, in general, hunkered down.
IMO Groups 1 and 3 are about 80% of the Electorate.
I think you are right I am sorry to say.
Even in the Revoultionary War, against the tyranny of the King, only 1/3 were Patriots. 1/3 were Loyalists and 1/3 didn’t want to choose sides.