Politics is perception. The normal business cycle may well move from recession to recovery during Obama’s term in office.
He will take credit for the recovery when in effect he had next to nothing to do with it. The mainstream media will assist in creating the perception that his policies were key.
As such, Obama will panic as he already is with huge government spending. 14% - 20% of GDP deficits will result in inflation.
It has been over 25 years since we have had to live with inflation, believe me, people will not like it.
Obama like FDR will just blame all the problems on his predecessor. So conservatives need to get on the record that the Obama policies are just continuation of the Bush polices. That way in 2012, we can run on real conservative free market principles instead of trying to two-step Bushonomics and trash Obamanomics.