Number 4 in line says: ha!
Posted on 01/12/2009 5:53:29 PM PST by Golddigger3
For the first time since the dawn of the jet age, two consecutive years have passed without a single airline passenger death on a U.S. carrier.
No passengers died in crashes in 2007 and 2008, a period in which 1.5 billion people took scheduled airline flights.
One major accident occurred during that time, last month's crash of a Continental Airlines jet in Denver.
Going without a crash fatality for a full year has been rare.
Only four years since 1958 have passed without a passenger fatality, the analysis found. That makes the two-year string even more impressive, aviation safety experts say.
"It's a new record," says Arnold Barnett, a Massachusetts Institute of Technology professor. "While it doesn't mean risk is now nonexistent," Barnett says, "it certainly means they have done a fantastic job at keeping all these threats at bay."
Barnett calculates that it's more likely for a young child to be elected president than to die on a single jet flight in the United States.
(Excerpt) Read more at suntimes.com ...
Knock on wood.
A child can be elected president at age two? I do not think so!
STOOPID MATH alert
Jinx
Yeah, it is more likely.
America just elected a baby in a man’s body to be President.
A child WAS elected President.
Well, the citizen thing does not seem to matter, why should the age thing?
Obviously what is meant is that the probability that the child will be elected President at any point in his life is higher than that the child will be killed in an airline crash at any time in his life.
Estimating P(president) is let’s see...
300 million Americans.
You have maybe 10 chances during your life to become President. In reality it’s fewer but I’m thinking 10 is a maximum.
So I’m thinking that a ballpark figure is 30 million to 1.
Clearly though the 1.5 billion passengers in 2007-08 included a number of duplicates. Also one big crash could drive up the average number of deaths per year significantly.
Dang, now that I think about it, it has to be wrong. That 2 year old child is likely to see more than 10 deaths of airline crashes (even restricted to American citizens, age 35+, 14 years a citizen, resident of the USA) but unlikely to see more than 10 U.S. Presidents during his adult lifetime.
Number 4 in line says: ha!
Bingo! *\;-)
The quote says “on a single jet flight”. Since about 750mm pasasenger legs are flown each year, your 1 in 300 million works. Goofy comparison anyway.
Odds that if your in a crash that you’ll be killed is about 75%. Odds that you’ll killed while President not as high...
But LOWER than the odds of a America Hating, Communist, Non Citizen being elected President it seems
:)
The President no longer needs to be a citizen. Why would he need to be 35?
No! No! No!
It’s not: A child’s probability of being killed in a plane crash is less than his probability of being elected President.
It’s: A child’s probability of being killed on any ONE flight is less than his probability of being elected President.
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