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To: Jet Jaguar

the crisis was structural and has been on the books for a long time. I think the actual motivation of the origins lie in greed.

That said, the timing of the unraveling was so opportune that I find it suspicious, particularly since the CDS market provided a vehicle to pressure the stocks of certain financial firms (which could then be FTD/naked shorted), and get the ball rolling with Lehman and AIG. So many parties and particularly countries had an interest in seeing obama win, though top of my list are Russia and China.

The result - the election was thrown to obama, the treasury is being looted to the tune of TRILLIONS this year, and the GOP may not get back into power for a long time.


8 posted on 01/06/2009 11:28:58 PM PST by WoofDog123
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To: WoofDog123; Eva
... the timing of the unraveling was so opportune that I find it suspicious, particularly since the CDS market provided a vehicle to pressure the stocks of certain financial firms (which could then be FTD/naked shorted), and get the ball rolling with Lehman and AIG.

Right "on the money", pardon the pun. The MBS/CDO, GSEs and CDS conditions were in place Bear Stearns was the trial run of short selling pressure and "run on the bank" by investment counterparties. Schumer's deliberate exposure of IndyMac (which could have been calmly offloaded by FDIC to other financial institutions the way Countrywide was to BofA and many smaller REITs were) was the prelude to generating consumer panic and test of consumers' "run on the bank". Lehman's and AIG failures after the attacks in early September on them along with Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and others, proved to be the nail in the coffin and resulted in complete cash crunch and credit freeze and sky high loan rates spreads (LIBOR, TED).

Anatomy of Morgan Stanley Panic

Defusing the Credit-Default Swap Bomb

Lehman's Chaotic Bankruptcy Filing Destroyed Billions in Value

Consider just this fact:
$11T-$14T in total mortgage market - that’s subprime (less than $1.5T) plus Alt-A plus prime, entire market. Some estimates put the total securitized market (MBS / CDO) at $7T-$8T. There was estimated $60+T of "insurance" (CDS) on it. That's not a “house insurance", that's a fuse underneath it that was waiting to be lit.

24 posted on 01/07/2009 1:22:34 AM PST by CutePuppy (If you don't ask the right questions you may not get the right answers)
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