You're pretty darned smart. Watch for China to become much more bellicose in the very near future. The ChiComs promised their people prosperity in return for chains.
The prosperity they've had is about to come to a screeching halt. They'll need an enemy to blame it on. Couple that with the fact that there are something like 100 million unmarried 20 something males in China and you've got the makings of a nice little war; most likely with India.
Maybe Taiwan, but most likely India.
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The prosperity they've had is about to come to a screeching halt. They'll need an enemy to blame it on. Couple that with the fact that there are something like 100 million unmarried 20 something males in China and you've got the makings of a nice little war; most likely with India.
You have vocalized my major fear, which is that China's economic downturn is going to create civil unrest in China that will result in either civil war (a better option for the US) or war with a neighbor.
While ultimately, India is the real competition, India has historic ties to Russia and the Chinese will not want a two-front war. China has a Muslim problem and would speculate that Pakistan or the historic enemy, Japan will be the real tempting targets of a Chinese government loosing its grip on the populace.