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To: KellyM37

There is absolutely no biological weapon ever created that is a worse threat to the US than a “killer influenza”. Since the Spanish flu terrified America in 1918, medical authorities knew it was only a matter of time before a killer flu would return again. It is usually cyclic, and we are very past due for one.

No other disease even comes close in lethality. Right now, there is a candidate for the next killer flu that is from hell itself, H5N1, the Avian flu.

Typically, a normal flu kills between 30,000 and 50,000 Americans each and every year. A bad flu could kill as many as 100,000. But that is nothing compared to a killer flu.

The Spanish flu killed between 2.5% and 5% of the world’s population. 20% of the world’s population caught the disease. All told, it may have killed more people than the black plague.

And of those 1 in 5 who caught the disease, 1 in 5 of them died. A mortality *rate* of about 20%

America had a population at the time of about 50 million people. Between 300,000 and 3,000,000 died.

If the Spanish flu had hit today, 300,000,000 people would die.

H5N1, the Avian flu, has a mortality *rate* of 60%.

If 1 in 5 people in the world caught the disease, at that mortality rate, 720,000,000 people would die in the world.

America now has a population of over 330,000,000. If 1 in 5 Americans caught the disease, almost 40,000,000 Americans will die.

40 million Americans would die.

That would be every person in America’s top 40 largest cities.


12 posted on 12/26/2008 4:14:51 PM PST by yefragetuwrabrumuy
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To: yefragetuwrabrumuy
America now has a population of over 330,000,000. If 1 in 5 Americans caught the disease, almost 40,000,000 Americans will die.

Ummm, one in five catches it, one in five of those kicks the bucket, you say?

(330,000,000 / 5) / 5 = 13,200,000

If that number included all politicians, I'd be all for it.

13 posted on 12/26/2008 4:21:23 PM PST by Revolting cat! (Many come here to merely strike poses, posture and feel superior to others.)
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To: yefragetuwrabrumuy

There is new flu vaccine that works on all influenza A flus - those with H*N* characterization - influenza B types mutate too slowly to present a problem for us.

It will only be about 5 years before we all start getting the new vaccine and human flu will no longer be a problem.


15 posted on 12/26/2008 4:38:51 PM PST by JustDoItAlways
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