Even if they accept it Dec. 12, there certainly wont be any headway by Dec. 15. The electors votes will be cast for Obama and Biden, and that means Biden would be sworn in as president if Barack Obama were found unqualified, yes?
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NOT necessarily ...
Assuming Obama was DQ’d, it ALSO depends on WHEN he was DQ’d.
FIRST - a Primer
There are 538 Electors in the Electoral College. However, there are MORE than 538 POSSIBLE Electors during the General Election.
FOR THE SAKE OF ARGUMENT, LET US SUPPOSE THAT ONLY MCCAIN AND OBAMA WERE RUNNING FOR POTUS ...
McCain had 538 Electors pledged to him, if elected and Obama had 538 Electors. THESE WERE DIFFERENT INDIVIDUALS. Therefore, there were 1076 POSSIBLE Electors.
As currently stands, Obama will win in the Electoral College 365-173, assuming everyone votes as they have pledged.
NOW:
HERE IS WHERE IT GETS MESSY ...
Suppose Obama was DQd by SCOTUS BEFORE the Electoral Vote count on 06 January - what would happen? ANY NUMBER OF THINGS ...
THIS could happen:
1. IN ALL STATES, if a candidate is DQd, they remove him from the ballot results - AS IF HE HAD NEVER BEEN ON THE BALLOT.
Therefore, through the Fruit of the Poisonous Tree doctrine, HIS Electors would be removed from the Electoral College AND the runner-ups Electors would be installed.
In this case, McCain would then win 538-0, assuming the Electors voted as they had pledged.
What about Biden? WHO KNOWS?
Biden could make a claim that he was validly elected and IF SCOTUS ruled so, then he would be elected VP 365-173, assuming the Electors voted as they had pledged.
In this case, Obama/Biden Electors WHO WERE NOT ALLOWED to vote for Obama WOULD be allowed to vote for Biden.
McCains additional Electors who voted for POTUS would sit the VP vote out.
However, OTOH, if Biden was DQd by SCOTUS because he ran as a TICKET with Obama, McCains additional Electors WOULD vote for VP (Obama/Bidens WOULD NOT vote) and Palin would be VP 538-0.
CONFUSING? - YOU BETCHA!!!
BTW: THIS IS NOT IN THE CONSTITUTION - IT WOULD BE EXTRA CONSTITUTIONAL ORDERED BY SCOTUS. BUT, IT WOULD ELIMINATE AN ELECTION THAT WAS BASD UPON THE PERPETRATION OF A FRAUD. THIS IS AN UNLIKELY SCENARIO.
OR THIS could happen:
2. If Obama was DQd, SCOTUS could eliminate the Electoral College vote for this election - since it was tainted. The vote would then go to the House of Representatives for POTUS. This is per the 12th Amendment AND IS CONSTITUTIONAL.
The House then votes as State delegations (1 state, 1 vote), and a simple majority wins.
HOWEVER, per the 12th Amendment, the House can ONLY VOTE FROM A LIST OF NO MORE THAN 3 candidates who received electoral votes. McCain is the ONLY one on the list. McCain wins 50-0.
As for VP:
The Senate votes for VP (1 Senator, 1 vote), and a simple majority wins. This is per the 12th Amendment AND IS CONSTITUTIONAL.
The Senate votes from a list of the 2 top candidates (Biden and Palin) who received electoral votes. Biden wins something like 58-42. THIS IS THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO.
OR THIS could happen:
3. SCOTUS orders a new election. THIS IS NOT IN THE CONSTITUTION - IT WOULD BE EXTRA CONSTITUTIONAL. THIS IS AN UNLIKELY SCENARIO.
THE LIKELYHOOD, IF OBAMA WERE DQ’D IS 2, THEN 3, THEN 1, ABOVE.
IF Obama was DQ’d AFTER the Electoral College vote on 06 January:
Per the 20th Amendment, the VP-Elect will become “acting” President on 20 January until a new President has qualified ...
How does the new President qualify? Presumably, SCOTUS rules the Electoral College vote invalid and throws it to the House of Representatives and the Senate, as in #2, above. Or, SCOTUS orders a new election.
IF Obama was DQ’d AFTER Inauguration, he MIGHT be declared NOT to have held the office in the first place - due to his ineligibility. IN THAT CASE, REFER TO 1, 2, AND 3, ABOVE ...
OTHERWISE:
Obama would have to be impeached, Biden would be President - AT LEAST INITIALLY under the 25th Amendment, Biden would nominate a new VP. Senate would confirm. Or SCOTUS could order a new election.
SIMPLE, HUH?
Thanks for the informative post.
One other possibility, the democrats could have their electors default to the democrat who got the next higher number of votes.
Hillary!