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The death throes of the bond insurers
ftalphaville ^ | 11/19/08

Posted on 11/23/2008 4:25:00 AM PST by TigerLikesRooster

The death throes of the bond insurers


Google Chart of ABK share price: Ambac’s share price hit an all-time low on Wednesday, falling below $1 a share for the first time in the company’s history as a public company.

Why? A rather savage downgrade from S&P, which cut the bond insurer’s financial strength rating to A from AA, The outlook on the ratings is negative, meaning further cuts are likely in the medium term.

S&P’s rationale (emphasis FT Alphaville’s):

The rating action on Ambac reflects our view that the company’s exposures in the U.S. residential mortgage sector and particularly the related collateralized debt obligation (CDO) structures have been a source of significant and comparatively greater-than-competitor losses and will continue to expose the company to the potential for further adverse loss development.

These losses have slightly more than offset the benefits to the company of lower capital requirements that result from a declining book of business.

In addition, to support funding needs at affiliate Ambac Capital Funding Inc., a provider of investment agreements, to meet increased collateralization and termination requirements, Ambac has purchased assets from and made loans to the affiliate that have lowered slightly the credit quality of Ambac’s investment portfolio and increased the gap between the book value and fair market value of the assets in the portfolio.

Nevertheless, in our opinion, the company still exhibits sound claims-paying ability at its current rating and adequate liquidity levels…

The negative outlook reflects our view that Ambac’s exposure to domestic nonprime mortgages and related exposures to CDO of ABS have likely damaged its franchise and that the company faces extremely limited new business flow.


(Excerpt) Read more at ftalphaville.ft.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: ambac; bondinsurer; cdo

1 posted on 11/23/2008 4:25:01 AM PST by TigerLikesRooster
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To: TigerLikesRooster; PAR35; bamahead; AndyJackson; Thane_Banquo; nicksaunt; MadLibDisease; ...

Ping!


2 posted on 11/23/2008 4:25:32 AM PST by TigerLikesRooster (kim jong-il, chia head, ppogri, In Grim Reaper we trust)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

GooD!!


3 posted on 11/23/2008 4:31:27 AM PST by org.whodat (Conservatives don't vote for Bailouts! Republicans do!)
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To: TigerLikesRooster
Or, as the rating agencies stir from their slumber and faintly recall that thingy once called "at arm's length."

Perhaps the days of "oversight" being a noun are over.

Oh, the dim-0-crats won ... never minds!

4 posted on 11/23/2008 5:12:28 AM PST by jamaksin
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To: TigerLikesRooster

A bond insurer that does not have a AAA/stable rating isn’t a bond insurer for long.


5 posted on 11/23/2008 8:32:35 AM PST by NVDave
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