The best that can be said right now is that it’s a statistical dead heat. It looks as though the recount will remain in Coleman’s favor by 100 or so votes, but that’s swamped by the number of challenged ballots — probably nearly 3,000 by the end, and we just don’t know how good those challenges are, on either side.
If it’s true that Coleman is keeping the challenge count high to stay ahead in the recount, then he could be in trouble, but then it could be equally true that Franken is playing the same game.
At this point it’s probably safe to say that both sides are challenging anything that casts the slightest doubt and its going to be a long day for the canvassing board as they figure it all out.
Then, depending on the margin after the questioned ballots are sorted, its off to the courts we go.
Franken has about 50 more challenges than Coleman.