Somewhere on FR has been posted, a few times, the breakdown of voting patterns which indicated that socons actually turned out for McCain, it was fiscal conservatives who stayed home. That makes sense, as he has a pro-life record but voted for the bailout.
If that’s the case, I will retract my statement as re: McCain. I was going by information I had seen where McCain lost about 10% from what President Bush had carried in 2004.
I’ll do some follow-up.