A May 2007 poll taken by Ivan Moore Research in Alaska put Palin’s positive rating at 89 percent. That’s off the charts high. But Moore’s survey wasn’t a traditional approval rating or job performance measure. Rather, respondents were asked to rate their feelings toward public figures as very or somewhat positive or very or somewhat negative. The verys and somewhats were then combined.
A poll two weeks before that one, from Dittman Research, gave Palin a 93 percent approval rating.
The Moore poll numbers hit a low of 76 percent in mid July — in the midst of “Troopergate” coverage — but bounced back to 80 percent in mid August. That mirrored a Hays Research Group poll on July 24 and 25 in which 80 percent rated Palin’s performance as somewhat or very favorable.
Moore hasn’t polled similar questions in other states, so he wouldn’t say categorically that Palin’s are the highest in the country. “But it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to know 89 percent is going to be at the top of the list,” Moore said.
On Sept. 3, the McCain campaign released results of an American Viewpoint poll on Sept. 2 — after the announcement of Palin as McCain’s running mate — that found Palin had an 86 percent overall job approval rating. That was a poll commissioned by the McCain campaign, so take that for what it’s worth.
Again, these are extraordinarily high numbers by any measure. But according to Rasmussen polls, Palin gave up her crown as “most popular” in July, overtaken by North Dakota’s Gov. John Hoeven.
A Rasmussen poll on July 30 found 64% of voters rate Palin’s job performance as excellent or good versus 14% who view it as poor. On July 8, Hoeven clocked 72 percent at excellent or good against just 6 percent who rated his performance as poor.
Scott Rasmussen, founder and CEO of Rasmussen Reports, said people shouldn’t get hung up on whether someone ranked No. 1 or 2. Those numbers change with the political winds of the day.
“In a broader sense, she (Palin) is one of the very top,” Rasmussen said.
The polling firm SurveyUSA has in the past conducted governor’s approval ratings in all 50 states, but not since Palin took office.
In 2006, the highest ratings were around 80 percent.
The ratings being reported in Alaska for Palin are “extraordinarily high,” said Jay Leve, editor of SurveyUSA. “Those kinds of numbers are unprecedented.”
And based on the previous highs for approval ratings, he said, it’s highly likely Palin is now top dog.
Jennifer Duffy, a senior editor for The Cook Political Report, and John McIntyre, managing editor at Real Clear Politics — two groups that pay close attention to such things — also believe Palin’s numbers rank her as the most popular.
“It’s difficult to make a categorical statement like that,” McIntyre said. “But generally, they are on pretty solid ground. If I was a betting person, I bet that’s an accurate statement. Once your approval rating is over 80 percent, it’s a little silly.”
Bottom line, most experts say the McCain campaign is probably right. We rate it True.
Greatness isn’t a popularity contest.