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To: rb22982
Almost all of that "growth" was from Q1. It's dropped hard in Q3 & Q4 which is when the price has plummetted. This article says in some weeks it's been down 10%. IEA doesn't believe the globe will have a recession next year.

True, gasoline demand has fallen in the U.S. but not world demand for oil which most of the price of gasoline is based on. Demand for oil is basically flat. Oil went up disconnected from supply and demand and has come down disconnected from supply and demand. It's hard to sustain manipulation of an industry this large with the vagaries of our world economy.

59 posted on 11/16/2008 7:48:34 PM PST by Prokopton
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To: Prokopton

I don’t believe that demand hasn’t dropped overseas. The whole world is in a recession and there are more reports nearly every day that China has cut back. Look at the BDI as an example as how demand has fallen off a cliff for transporting goods. Europe is in a recession, Japan, US is in a recession. Many, many others are already in one but just haven’t formally declared it. Keep in mind though that while demand had been going up 2-3% so has production and if demand goes up just .5 or is flat, you have a much larger comfort zone. Plus—We’re just getting started on this world wide recession. I see oil at $40 a barrel or less by Feb/March.


62 posted on 11/16/2008 8:06:49 PM PST by rb22982
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