“but don’t worry, next election the same folks will be back to tell us all how the polls are all lies again”
What I never understood was the question of motive. Why would the pollsters be involved in some grand conspiracy? Even if they are lib (and with some of them we have no way of knowing) they have to strive for the mark. Miss it by too much too often and you go out of business and somebody else takes your place. Its how the market works. If the pollsters had been predicting Obama +7 and he lost the industry would implode and they’d all go under. Even if they were rooting for Obama I can assure you that they don’t want to put themselves out of business.
This thread is perfect evidence of why... because they are held accountable for only one poll - the last one.
So even though Pew had Obama +16 polls for the final weeks, they are labeled “acurrate” because they issued a +6 poll at the last minute. Same with CBS and many others.
The lesson is to watch Rasmussen. These other polls are all over the place, and I think a lot of it is for manipulation purposes. Rasmussen polling is very much steady as she shows, which is more reflective of reality than Pew/Zogby/Gallup/CBS polling with 10 point shifts in just days.