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1 posted on 11/04/2008 5:22:26 PM PST by BIOCHEMKY
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To: BIOCHEMKY

http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/

It’s Not Quite a Rerun of 2004, But We May Not Be That Far Off

A person who contrasted the exit poll data with what we know from the results we have in Indiana and some other states concludes that the Democratic bias in the exit polls seems to have declined slightly from 2004, from eight points to roughly five.

Looking at that first batch of exit polls, shifting 5 percent from the Obama pile to the McCain pile gives us...

Obama: IA, MI, NH, NM, PA (52-48) WI
McCain: GA, FL, IN, MO, NC, OH, WV
Tie: NV, VA.

If this is the case, we are in for a long and exciting night. Having said that, we don’t know for certain that the 5 percent skew is even across the board.

Having said that, ABC News is calling Pennsylvania for Obama, the moment the polls close. Gotta wonder if they’ve gotten exit polls from central Pennsylvania yet.


2 posted on 11/04/2008 5:24:27 PM PST by Names Ash Housewares (Refusing to kneel before the polling gods and whimper. FIGHT!)
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To: BIOCHEMKY

Don’t think so. Sadly.

Obama will win. Sadly.


3 posted on 11/04/2008 5:25:18 PM PST by willgetsome
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To: BIOCHEMKY

PA was called for the Socialist by ABC and NBC by exit polls - where are you getting your optimism? I have ‘hope’ but where is your optimism coming from (results?).


4 posted on 11/04/2008 5:25:27 PM PST by LibFreeUSA
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To: BIOCHEMKY

McCain has no chance in IA. Get real. Fork. Done.


5 posted on 11/04/2008 5:26:06 PM PST by FreepShop1 (www.FreepShop.com)
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To: BIOCHEMKY

Fight on McCain!


9 posted on 11/04/2008 5:29:16 PM PST by beagleone (Stand up and fight. America is worth fighting for. Nothing is inevitable here. We never give up.)
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To: BIOCHEMKY

This election is already over because the fix was in from the get go. Im already planning on sucking every tax dollar and free grant I can get my hands on for business development, and training programs for all the rejects out there. I have already figured out how I can get Mr. Obama to pay me to train his ‘poor’ constituents to build my products. God I love America. Ill be the first one in line with my hand out at the White House to help Mr. Obama make change and build the dreams of the future. They won’t notice that I will be redistributing my tax dollars back to me! Yeah!


13 posted on 11/04/2008 5:30:43 PM PST by ritewingwarrior (When is Congressman William Jefferson going to trial?)
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To: BIOCHEMKY

This election is already over because the fix was in from the get go. Im already planning on sucking every tax dollar and free grant I can get my hands on for business development, and training programs for all the rejects out there. I have already figured out how I can get Mr. Obama to pay me to train his ‘poor’ constituents to build my products. God I love America. Ill be the first one in line with my hand out at the White House to help Mr. Obama make change and build the dreams of the future. They won’t notice that I will be redistributing my tax dollars back to me! Yeah!


14 posted on 11/04/2008 5:30:48 PM PST by ritewingwarrior (When is Congressman William Jefferson going to trial?)
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To: BIOCHEMKY

Lots of newbies trolling these threads tonight. Beware of those telling you it’s over. It ain’t over until it’s over.


15 posted on 11/04/2008 5:30:52 PM PST by originalbuckeye
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To: BIOCHEMKY

wow its not gonna be a blowout by any stretch

they are running neck and neck in popular vote


16 posted on 11/04/2008 5:32:01 PM PST by housedeep
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To: BIOCHEMKY

Indiana is way too close. Florida is way too close. Neither looks very good right now. Pennsylvania is lost. Add to this the fact that the communists are cleaning up in the senate races and things don’t look good at all.

This is done.

God help us all.

Welcome to the United Socialist States of America. I’m so happy I’m not in the Army anymore; I couldn’t stand putting my live on the line for a socialist government.


18 posted on 11/04/2008 5:33:16 PM PST by frankiep (Every socialist is a disguised dictator - Ludwig von Mises)
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To: BIOCHEMKY

The most reliable bellwether in the country went to Obama. Vigo County in west central Indiana.

Obama will have over 330EV. USSA here we come.


23 posted on 11/04/2008 5:36:17 PM PST by IamConservative (On 11/4, remember 9/11...)
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To: BIOCHEMKY
I'm getting really depressed. I think McCain is going to lose Virginia too. I remember watching the Senate returns come in in 2006. George Allen was ahead of Web well into the evening and then all the dim votes started pouring in and Web won handily. I also just heard that Obami won big in suburban Philly...where McCain HAD to get a lot of votes to win.
34 posted on 11/04/2008 5:42:58 PM PST by PennPatriot
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To: BIOCHEMKY

looking ahead....I pray Palin can lead us out of this in 4 years...


38 posted on 11/04/2008 5:46:30 PM PST by wardaddy (I'm as enthusiastic about Obama as my kinfolks were about Reconstruction)
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To: BIOCHEMKY

How many of the 57 states will Obama carry? How many electoral votes does Germany have?


39 posted on 11/04/2008 5:47:17 PM PST by weegee (Fight Global Socialist CHANGE. vote NO on Obama-Biden. Say NO to Sen. Government)
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To: BIOCHEMKY
All said and told... after this election cycle..
BUSH really did destroy the republican party..
Meaning it really WAS... "BUSHS FAULT"...(whatever)
46 posted on 11/04/2008 6:05:13 PM PST by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited to include some fully orbed hyperbole....)
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To: BIOCHEMKY

It’s still very close on the east coast. New Jersey is called for Obama but the numbers I see show McCain - at the moment - with a lead. PA is called with barely 1% in. I won’t say those are over until they are over mathematically.


47 posted on 11/04/2008 6:06:12 PM PST by monkeyshine
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