John McCain will win the election tonight, but the news media will refuse to call it for him until every last vote is counted in any state McCain wins. Obama states will be called the second the polls close, of course, and anything even remotely close will be called for Obama with the same certainty, then moved back to toss-up, and eventually to McCain as the real votes make the exit polls look stupid. Again.
Or as we used to say in the old country..."Pray for wind, but keep rowing to shore."