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To: MaverickElephant

I would like to believe you but I have to ask, how can so many polls be so wrong and for so long. I don’t think the American people are voting for Obama so much as they are voting against the status quo. Obama just happens to be there and to reap the benefit.


12 posted on 11/03/2008 7:46:43 AM PST by libh8er
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To: libh8er

“I would like to believe you but I have to ask, how can so many polls be so wrong and for so long. I don’t think the American people are voting for Obama so much as they are voting against the status quo. Obama just happens to be there and to reap the benefit.”

Oversamplingd dems, Bradley effect, PUMAs.


19 posted on 11/03/2008 7:51:01 AM PST by edge10
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To: libh8er

I’m sure Obama is ahead two points or three at most.
However, it’s within the MOE with a decent amount of undecided voters.
The exit polls showed a Kerry blowout around 2PM on election day four years ago.
ALL OF THEM showed it, and ALL OF THEM were wrong.
It’s happened before, and polls are not science.


37 posted on 11/03/2008 8:12:02 AM PST by snarkytart
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To: libh8er

The oversampling’s been going on for weeks, if not months. Check out this link:

http://newsbusters.org/blogs/tom-blumer/2008/10/02/cooking-ap-polls-radically-changes-party-mix-fabricate-obama-trend

In many of these polls, the Obama lead is the same or less than the oversample of Dems. These polls are steaming piles of crap, and I’ll stand by that even if we lose tomorrow night. If they’re correct in predicting the winner, it will be like the psychic who claimed she “predicted” the Hindenburg disaster because she had a dream about a big fire a week before the incident.


43 posted on 11/03/2008 8:45:06 AM PST by Mr. Silverback (*******It's not conservative to accept an inept Commander-in-Chief in a time of war. Back Mac.******)
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