To me, this map is a fair starting point. The blue and red "solid" states are colored, and the rest are grey.
That gives:
Obama 234, McCain 163, Undecided 141.
Obama thus needs to add only 36 EV's.
The 11 unclaimed states are:
FL 27
PA 21
OH 20
NC 15 (I'd say leans McCain, based on nothing but my preconceived notions)
VA 13
IN 11 (leans McCain)
MO 11
CO 9 (leans Obama)
NM 5 (leans Obama)
NV 5 (leans Obama)
NH 4 (leans Obama)
If I'm right in my "leaning" guesses, it's now 257 Obama, 189 McCain. Obama is 13 short. MO wouldn't give it to him, but any of the others would. McCain must sweep FL, PA, OH, and VA... which is a pretty tall order. Get out and vote, America!
NC is going McCain. I don’t think it’s as close here as the polls/pundits say. If NC didn’t go for Gore and didn’t go for Kerry there is no way we’re going for BHO.
Obama is a candidate too far, even for the “yellow dog” dems.