how does virginia look right now? some polling data
Mason-Dixon has O 47 M 44, which is within the margin of error, with 9% still undecided, mostly white.
Mason-Dixon
VA: O-47, M-43, U-9
If Undecideds break 75% towards McCain, it would tie it up... all depends on undecided voters. Other polls, I believe have shown it closer.