Maybe not appropriate at this time, but I will take a chance. I find the websites incredibly vague on past Canadian election polls. Some of the pollsters have American based parent companies- Gallup for instance. Using the Laurier Institute of Public Opinion and Study, I found this for 1984. The Liberal Party were the anointed (sound familiar?). General consensus as tabulated by LIPOS.
Liberal 48% popular vote.
Conservatives 39% popular vote.
New Democrat 11%.
Actual results.
Conservatives 50%
Liberals 19%
New Democrats (not given).
The margin of error was a whopping 20%. Gallup spokesman when asked said this. "Oh, we do state within a margin of 3% (I think 3), but we do say that we are right 19 out of 20 times- this was the 20th(laugh, joke etc).
An American admiral was quoted as saying "Damn the torpedoes, steer her straight ahead". My sincere prayers for America.
Another example of the MYTHICAL “Margin Of Error”
They were off by almost 700% of their “Margin Of Error”
Will their next round of polls state a 15-20% “Margin Of Error”? No, it will be 3, LOL.