In an honest election, Obaba would lose in a landslide worse than George McGovern. Unfortunately, it is obvious this is not going to be an honest election. Phony ACORN voters by the hundreds of thousands will vote in key states and the dead will rise to do the same in the usual places. And even if McCain wins, the lawsuits will drag it out and likely get some strategic favorable judgments for Obama which may turn the election around.
The Left has learned their lesson from Florida 2000 and has spent 8 years sharpening their legal knives. Just look what they have managed to accomplish in Ohio with a few sympathetic politicians and judges!
Nevertheless, I agree with you McCain will probably win, at least initially. The down ballot candidates will be a disaster, though. The Dims have managed to pin the blame tail on the GOP elephant, once again, and the GOP seems incapable of countering the avalanche of lies. The Dims managed that in 2006 and they and their media allies seem to have accomplished the same feat this year.
November 4th will likely be a sad day for Truth, Justice, and the American Way. Hopefully, McCain/Palin will win and at least put a partial block onto the ongoing assault on a Constitutional American government and society.
I think the Bradley or Wilder effect is definitely in play here. There are probably many voters that for one reason or another be it race, prejudice, etc. etc. they simply will not vote for a Barak Obama and they have successfully eluded polling efforts.
The only thing that has polled so far is that somewhere between 75% and 85% of the Dems are actually supporting Obama for potus. Statisticstas I have seen suggest without at least 90 % they lose every time. Either way we shall see soon.