Since it is rolling, McCain lost ground with todays poll.
Zogby is going to have fun with us this weekend and will back down on Monday.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
5.5% for Obama. I guess he had one hell of a night Saturday night, huh?
BTW..not to be rude, but a bad poll for McCain is not exactly BREAKING NEWS.
A good poll would be.
Zogby says...
“A special note to blogger friends: calm it down. Lay off the cable television noise and look at your baseball cards in your spare time. It is better for your (and everyone else’s) health.”
Did you notice that Zogby attacked bloggers at the end of his analysis? This guy is a jerk with phony numbers, and a media whore.
Statistical noise but we are long past national tracking polls. They don’t mean squat any more.
UTICA, New York — After a strong day of polling for Republican presidential candidate John McCain on Friday, Democrat Barack Obama experienced a strong single day of polling on Saturday, retaining a 5.7 point advantage that is right at the edge of the margin of error of the Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking poll. The race has remained remarkably stable down the stretch, this three-day rolling average poll shows.
Pollster John Zogby: “Obama has consolidated his lead over McCain. His single day lead today was back to 52%-42%. He leads by 10 among independents and has solidified his base. He leads among Hispanics by38 points, African Americans by 88, 18-24 year olds by 36, 18-29 year olds by 25, 25-34 year olds by 16, women by 8, and men by 3. He has a 17 point lead among those who have already voted, 22 by those who have registered to vote in the past 6 months, Moderates by 34, Catholics by 10. He even receives 21% support among Conservatives.
“So what happened to give McCain a one-point lead in the one-day polling on Friday? It was a day of consolidation for him, too. He had been losing support among key groups and began to regain some of his own base. He now leads by 21 points among NASCAR fans, 9 among investors, 6 among voters in armed forces households, and 2 among voters over 65 years old.
“Remember, as I said yesterday, one day does not make a trend. This is a three-day rolling average and no changes have been tectonic. A special note to blogger friends: calm it down. Lay off the cable television noise and look at your baseball cards in your spare time. It is better for your (and everyone else’s) health.”
This has been one of the least entertaining elections I can recall. One way or another, I’m ready for it to be over. Pretty sure it isn’t good for my health- getting jerked around by someone like Zogby. He’s Lucy with the football, and conservatives are Charlie Brown. Tease us with the one point lead yesterday and send us flying tonight.
So....Not much change, is this the three day rolling poll??
If Zog had McCain up by 1 in one day sample Friday, for Obama to have gained ground in the tracking poll would mean that Obama had an extraordinary day on Saturday. Doesn’t add up that Friday and Saturday would be so completely different. I’m calling BS
Zogby says McCain leads “6 among voters in armed forces households, and 2 among voters over 65 years old.”
B.S.!
this sample includes Halloween night. Z splits his sample across 2 days to include the previous evening.
I think one big thing this shows is that whatever method Zogby uses it is wildly inconsistent which calls into question its usefulness.
obama Winning men????? me and many others yesterday said not to believe the zogby poll. one day mccain +1 and next obama +10(thats wat he says his one day polling was today)
zogby has been doing more with the special sauce than just adding it to the polls
Sounds to me like Zogby got a call from the “special police”.
And for the record I think Zogby is basically a total loon who just makes his freakin' numbers up.
As sad as it is to say at this point Rasmussen is probably the most reputable poll because he has large sample sizes and openly publishes his party weighting for the poll. And it basically comes down to whether his 7%+ advantage to the Democrats is off as to whether we can win. And most polls seem to be assuming this huge Democrat advantage in turnout this election, so basically the polls will have to be wrong.
If he polls a lot in New York City, San Francisco and Los Angeles O is going to have a lead. Fortunately, the big cities matter less on a national level.
I believe these are numbers from Friday night and Saturday.
Republican voters do not poll well on Friday nights and Saturdays in the fall (especially with Halloween thrown in, too), because they’re at high school football games, kids Saturday soccer, etc.
Last minute polls (Sunday & Monday) will be more accurate, both because it’s in the best interest of the polling company to show accuracy in their final figures and because their samples will be more legit because more people are at home on Sundays than earlier in the weekend.
National poll numbers mean nothing. Nothing. All that matters at this point is state-by-state support.
Gallup came out today with 52-42. I knew Zogby was going to follow his lead.
I am so ready for tuesday I can barely contain myself. I just know the silent majority is going to roar.