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To: ForbesFan

RCP is such a joke. I don’t understand why people think it is more accurate because it averages all the polls together. An average of a bunch of crappy polls is just a crappy average of a bunch of crappy polls.

It factors in PEW’s 15 point lead, Gallup’s 10 point romp, Zogby’s dart throwing numbers. The only poll that has been stable all year is Rasmussen’s, so it’s the only one that I give even an inkling of credibility to.

I think Rasmussen’s is good to show the trend, but his sampling is off. Thus all you really need to do to gauge the race is take his poll and re-weight it, and when you do you find a much tighter race. He has PA a 4 point race. That is great news for McCain. It means McCain is actually winning in PA.


114 posted on 11/02/2008 1:39:32 AM PDT by jsdjason
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To: jsdjason

Exactly. It figures in idiotic polls that only a complete moron would believe. Then, as you’ve probably noticed, about 85-90% of the opinion pieces they have on there are left-wing bigtime. Nice objectiveness....... I despise Politico as well......


116 posted on 11/02/2008 1:45:44 AM PDT by ForbesFan
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